Ghostly Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1078 | 32% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 1000 | 40% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1197 | 831 | 89% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1113 | 63% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1230 | 1171 | 58% | 2018-03-21 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1239 | 28% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1033.8 has a 55.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).