Death's Head Debut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1060 | 34% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 907 | 881 | 54% | 2023-05-31 | Tied |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-04-13 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 995 | 1022 | 46% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
| 995 | 995 | 50% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 819 | 1042 | 22% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1239 | 1098 | 69% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 976 | 1043 | 40% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2018-02-25 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-01-13 | Won |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2018-01-02 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 991.2 vs 1036.4 has a 43.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).