First Bayonet Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (OUNC): 15
Defender wins (North Korean): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 1084 | 27% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1047 | 819 | 79% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 986 | 67% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1093 | 976 | 66% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1084 | 49% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1061 | 42% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 988.8 has a 58.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).