Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (9 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1036 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1238 | 927 | 86% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1043 | 54% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 989 | 74% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 965 | 61% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1096.1 vs 1042.7 has a 57.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).