Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (25 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1010 | 54% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 976 | 60% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1087 | 1014 | 60% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 970 | 62% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1150 | 1063 | 62% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 898 | 903 | 49% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 932 | 1230 | 15% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1084 | 71% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1085 | 71% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1135 | 50% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1111 | 1066 | 56% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1043 | 28% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1185 | 36% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1103 | 36% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1230 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1058 | 71% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1004 | 46% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1056.3 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).