Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (North Korean): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1210 | 27% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1106 | 33% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1052 | 58% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1024 | 52% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 1124 | 39% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 1042 | 1043 | 50% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.7 vs 1080.2 has a 40.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).