Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (16 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (Romanian): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Romanian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1309 | 1105 | 76% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
| 932 | 1230 | 15% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 965 | 1008 | 44% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1200 | 45% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 898 | 1169 | 17% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1212 | 50% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1092 | 34% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1238 | 1005 | 79% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1142 | 1006 | 69% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 947 | 999 | 43% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1275 | 916 | 89% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 1089.1 has a 48.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).