Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1010 | 36% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1020 | 48% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 965 | 1081 | 34% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 965 | 51% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1238 | 14% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 966.1 vs 1044.7 has a 38.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).