Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1211 | 42% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 993 | 1040 | 43% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1078 | 32% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 977 | 1279 | 15% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 981 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 1238 | 14% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 993 | 965 | 54% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1207 | 1021 | 74% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1001.2 vs 1077.2 has a 39.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).