One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 946 | 53% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 881 | 1043 | 28% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1150 | 49% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1238 | 952 | 84% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1238 | 952 | 84% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1006 | 881 | 67% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 1043 | 36% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1021.1 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).