The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1150 | 49% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 946 | 1043 | 36% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 898 | 903 | 49% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.9 vs 1004.1 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).