Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1084 | 28% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 947 | 1062 | 34% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1279 | 1105 | 73% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1058 | 32% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1075 | 44% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1106 | 38% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1020 | 933 | 62% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 916 | 1111 | 25% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 905 | 954 | 43% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 954 | 972 | 47% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 996.9 vs 1056.9 has a 41.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).