Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1074 | 35% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 1030 | 974 | 58% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1238 | 21% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 944 | 982 | 45% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1207 | 1082 | 67% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 976 | 1066 | 37% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1169 | 963 | 77% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 1015 | 64% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 970 | 56% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 965 | 59% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 978 | 982 | 49% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 923 | 965 | 44% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1015.6 has a 51.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).