Taking San Stefano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1006 | 47% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1047 | 46% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1129 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 831 | 1016 | 26% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 965 | 876 | 63% | 2020-08-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 1008.7 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).