Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 907 | 963 | 42% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 1006 | 57% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1009.4 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).