The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (30 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1084 | 39% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 921 | 931 | 49% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 916 | 1070 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 947 | 60% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1185 | 36% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1147 | 916 | 79% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 819 | 739 | 61% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 960 | 975 | 48% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1291 | 1279 | 52% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1005 | 40% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 1028 | 30% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1279 | 1032 | 81% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1106 | 40% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1058 | 48% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 907 | 970 | 41% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 954 | 1085 | 32% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1014 | 82% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1209 | 1059 | 70% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1074 | 63% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1238 | 1096 | 69% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1258 | 1101 | 71% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1103 | 981 | 67% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1258 | 37% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1033.7 has a 51.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).