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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1113 | 36% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 791 | 1101 | 14% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1239 | 1334 | 37% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1121 | 41% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1207 | 1192 | 52% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 965 | 44% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 1239 | 17% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1111.9 has a 39.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).