Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 921 | 1040 | 34% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 960 | 960 | 50% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1101 | 44% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 887 | 68% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 932 | 68% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1049 | 52% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 819 | 82% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 997.1 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).