Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Chinese): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1078 | 52% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 965 | 60% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1105 | 44% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1074 | 42% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 965 | 1200 | 21% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 791 | 86% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 947 | 67% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1073 | 72% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1101 | 1215 | 34% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 1120 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1051.1 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).