Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (6 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 835 | 80% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 903 | 918 | 48% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 932 | 932 | 50% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 986.2 vs 951.5 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).