Reckless Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (13 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Romanian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1084 | 36% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1215 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2023-04-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 966 | 966 | 50% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1169 | 56% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1062.2 has a 45.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).