Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1012 | 42% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 907 | 1084 | 27% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 1071 | 46% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 966 | 966 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1084 | 1098 | 48% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1066 | 1142 | 39% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1033 | 1074 | 44% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 932 | 68% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 947 | 55% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 975 | 56% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 916 | 874 | 56% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-06-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1101 | 25% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1023.1 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).